Dangerous Decade – Siam Rath

He came out to issue a warning with great concern about the situation our world is experiencing during this decade or ten years.

It was a warning from analysts. “International Institute for Strategic Studies” or “IISS (International Institute for Strategic Studies) based in London. Capital of England

The warning also came from a new report. Which was recently published

In the report of the aforementioned institute, which is organized as a think tank, a research organization stated that our world is entering an era of extreme instability. So much so that all countries allocate additional budget for defense or military aspect, but the more budget allocated to this area instead of creating stability but creating more instability. Because it turns out that there is nothing wrong with increasing the above budget in competing to amass military power among each other, so if you have it, I must have something like this.

The factors that push the authorities of many countries to allocate more defense budgets are: There are many reasons. According to analysts at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, the Russian-Ukrainian war conflict problems in the Middle East and the expansion of Chinese influence in the South China Sea

With the three factors mentioned above this issue must be considered the most obvious. It continues until the present time.

The first two problems are the Russian-Ukrainian war. And the problems of conflict in the Middle East region, and the warring parties are still fighting fiercely against each other.

Whether the Russian-Ukrainian war in the Russian army is still attacking Ukraine ferociously and after almost two full years of fighting, it will enter its third year this weekend. The Russian army was the first to launch a war of invasion against Ukraine on February 24, 2022 (2022), after which the battle continued until this moment, causing loss of life and property to both. Especially Ukraine, which was a victim of the actions of the Russian army. It received serious damage because in addition to the loss of military personnel, various weapons and equipment, houses in various cities and what became a battlefield had to be destroyed, including civilians being killed. Many were wounded from the war, and Russia, the war maker, lost most of it in terms of military personnel. Various weapons and equipment on the march of troops to Ukraine, such as tanks and various armored combat vehicles. The figure that appears says about 3,000 vehicles were destroyed, which is roughly the same or similar number of tanks that Russia has in its inventory. Before the Russian-Ukrainian war in 2022, while the damage to people's homes was not significant. At most, it's just the corner of the building. The corner of a building in Moscow, Ukraine secretly sent a drone to attack. Losses related to these assets, most of which are located in cities or regions annexed by Russia, such as the Donetsk region.

The Russian-Ukrainian war has created a ripple effect that has shaken the largest international military cooperation organization in the world, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization or NATO. Because the territorial territory of NATO member states is close to a battlefield such as Poland, additional defense budgets must be allocated. Because I fear that war battle will escalate across the border.

Like other NATO member states, they are all gradually increasing their defense budgets. The various military countries are neatly combined with the number of NATO member states with the exception of the United States, i.e. most European countries. Officials in those countries have allocated their defense budget at an average rate of 32% since Russia began looming over its annexation of Crimea from Ukraine in 2014.

However, as we mentioned, the above figures do not include the increase in the budget. US defense which if included the numbers will rise dramatically from now on.

In addition to NATO member states, the warring states, namely Russia and Ukraine, have allocated additional defense budgets. To fill the war they are fighting, in particular, Russia must increase its defense budget to purchase weapons and equipment from allied countries. Which is said to include China, Iran and North Korea, while Ukraine has also resorted to seeking help from Western allies. Led by the United States they have been using this method since the beginning of the war.

As for the problems of the conflict in the Middle East region, which is raging between the Israeli army and Hamas activists in the Gaza Strip. Which began on October 7 of last year and has continued until now, raising the concern of many parties that conventional wars are indeed complex. There are signs that it will spread beyond Gaza, such as Hezbollah's attack on Israel from southern Lebanon. and attacks on shipping containers in the Red Sea by Houthi rebels in Yemen. It was also sent to many countries, especially in the Middle East region, and we must prepare to deal with situations that may occur unexpectedly through the defense budget, of which more must be allocated.

Warships are one of the pieces of equipment used by various armies.  Around the South China Sea, such as the Philippines and others, have accumulated after the expansion of Chinese influence in the South China Sea (Photo: AFP)

In addition to the above-mentioned problems of war and conflict, there are also factors of China's increasing influence in the South China Sea. So that it touches the territorial waters of various countries, and among the countries located in that sea are Taiwan, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Malaysia. Thats all about it. China's expanding influence also extended to the waters of some Indonesian islands. It also sends a signal just as the Chinese dragon spread its claws in the South Pacific. To make all countries confront China, it is necessary to increase the defense budget in preparation for dealing with unexpected situations from China. According to the International Institute for Strategic Studies, defense budgets around the world over the past year and in total jumped to 9.9 percent, which represents up to 2.2 trillion US dollars, but it has nevertheless made our world more stable. Ready to issue a warning sound The instability caused by wars and various conflicts will cause our world to enter a period of alarming “dangerous decade.”

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