Emmanuel Macron has a majority in the second round of assembly elections
French President Emmanuel Macron will lose the absolute majority he holds in the National Assembly on Sunday, reducing the scope for his maneuvers.
Sunday marks the French referendum on the second round of legislative elections, which will define the room for maneuvering by re-elected President Emmanuel Macron for the next five years, against a united left ready to fight.
About 48 million voters have been invited to vote in France’s heat wave, but according to opinion polls, the turnout should be as large as in the first round. On June 12, more than one in two voters boycotted the ballot box. The ball rolled on Saturday in French territories outside of mainland France, overseas and especially in North America.
Polling stations will open at 8:00 a.m. and close at 6:00 p.m. If the referendum is too tight, the exact distribution of seats in the National Assembly – and therefore an absolute majority for President Macron or not – will not be known until the night.
Scarecrow of “Extreme”
Recent polls, approved on Friday, suggest that the centrist coalition will be united! The party of the head of state must win the leadership, but this absolute majority of 289 delegates (out of 577) is guaranteed to gain the essential gateway to implement its policy and announced reforms. This would force him to seek the support of other political parties to approve the bills, if a relative majority occurs.
In the first round, the exit majority was 26% of the vote with Tribune Jean-Luc Mலlenchon’s left-wing coalition, the News. He has won the race to unite socialists, ecologists, communists and his own far-left movement, La France Inzomis.
Emmanuel Macron, who traveled to Que for the first time on Thursday, said the war in Ukraine was affecting the daily lives of the French and stressed that “France really needs a European Union”. Who can speak in a clear and distinct voice. “
Three blocks
Sunday’s vote puts an end to a long election cycle in France, which in 2017 led to Mr. Macron’s election will ensure the country’s broader political restructuring around the three constituencies to the detriment of the traditional parties.
In the tense environment created by the continuing crisis, from the Kovit-19 epidemic to the war in Ukraine to inflation and threats to the economy, the French would have gone to the polls at least four times in two years in total. .
For the united left – for decades – the challenge is to impose coexistence on the head of state, but it has fewer votes than the presidential coalition. In the absence of a majority, the Left is almost certain to become the main opposition party in the legislature.
The weight of the extreme right
The other issue of the ballot and, perhaps, the main lesson of this long line of elections is the rise of the far right behind Marine Le Pen, who was already the finalist in the presidential election.
His party, the National Rally (RN), hopes to reach 15 people elected to form a committee in the National Assembly. This is only the second time in the history of the party that a two-round majority vote has not been in favor. The RN is the only formation that has been taken separately that has advanced in terms of votes since the last 2017 Assembly election.
As for the classic right-wingers, it trusts about sixty delegates and, paradoxically, may find itself in the position of playing arbitrators in future legislatures. Many ministers, including Clement Beaune (Europe) or Amélie de Montchalin (environmental change), are playing their political future in tight races in the Paris region.
In the first results from abroad, Secretary of State for the Sea Justin Benin was defeated by left-wing candidate Christian Baptiste in Guadeloupe, and it is uncertain whether he will continue in government. After the election, more or less extensive government reshuffle is expected.
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