Special Report/Written by Ukraine Support Tracker
Recently, the dynamics of aid to Ukraine has been slow: between August 2022 and December 2023, new aid has reached a low level, i.e. aid has decreased by almost 90 percent compared to the same period in 2022, while Ukraine is highly dependent on major donors. The United States The Federal Republic of Germany, the Nordic countries (5 countries: Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden) and Eastern European countries continue to provide financial assistance and key equipment, such as fighter aircraft.F16 Therefore, future assistance remains unclear. This is because it is the largest aid pledge to date by an EU member. The latest has not yet been approved. In addition, aid from the United States tends to decline. This is the result of the latest update of the Ukraine subsidy tracker, which will be binding until December 31, 2023.
Between August and October 2023, the volume of new aid pledges fell sharply, with the total value of new packages reaching just €2.11 billion, representing an 87% reduction in aid compared to the same period. In 2022, out of 42 donors tracked, only 20 countries have pledged new aid packages in the last three months, a smaller contribution than active donors (donors) have been supporting since the start of the war. This includes very few new commitments by the European Union and the United States.
Christoph Trebisch Who is the leader of the team that founded the Ukraine Support Tracker (UST) and Director of the Kiel Institute Research Center (a global economic research institute based in Germany) said: “Over the past few months, our numbers confirm the attitude shown by donors. It is clear that the hesitation has increased. Ukraine is relying On a few major donors that continue to provide strong support, such as the Federal Republic of Germany, the United States and the Nordic countries. With uncertainty about receiving future assistance from the United States, Ukraine expects only EU member states to pass an aid package announced since A long period of 50 billion euros. Any further delay will only strengthen President Putin’s position in the Russian Federation.
The proposed new US aid package has been postponed until next year, and European Union members have stopped approving Ukraine’s financial resources. Major donors that continue to support include Croatia, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Lithuania, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland. Ukraine can also count on large-scale programs for many years to come. Which was promised before and this is where most of the aid is currently being given to countries like Denmark, Germany and Norway. It has provided €1.2 billion, €1 billion in support, and €662 million in military aid, respectively, over the past three months.
Issues of military assistance: European Union countries followed the example of the United States and surpassed it in providing assistance. In particular, Germany and the Nordic countries (Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Finland) have allocated significant new aid over the past month.
Heavy weapons assistance pledges total €25 billion (from January 2022 to October 2023), with the United States providing 43% of the total. While EU countries and institutions combined account for 47%, other aid comes from a variety of donors, especially the United Kingdom and Canada. Over the past three months (August, September, October), EU countries pledged €780 million in heavy weapons aid, compared to €500 million from the United States. This trend comes in the wake of a new wave of aid from Germany and other countries. August 2023, especially through the new Patriot and Iris-T air defense systems from Germany and 19 F-16 fighter jets from Denmark as part of the Netherlands-UK Joint Aviation Alliance, among other examples. Aid cooperation includes a new joint purchase agreement between the Netherlands and the Netherlands. Denmark and the Czech Republic supply 15 modern T-72EA main battle tanks to Ukraine. Along with a set of joint Nordic procurement plans for 15 mm ammunition.
“We have noticed a shift toward military assistance,” Trebisch said. This is especially true in the form of bilateral aid, as among the top 10 donor countries, military aid accounted for 58% of total aid (as of October 31, 2023), with the United States remaining as the leading donor. It pledged support worth 44 billion euros, but Germany has closely followed suit, and has now pledged total military support worth more than 17 billion euros. The Netherlands increased its role in military assistance.
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